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src="/style/ad44111.png" border="0" /></a></div>--> <p>黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业投资增速分别高?3.8%?9.2%Q将D钢铁、化工、有艌Ӏ徏材等高耗能刉业耗电增速下行,我们寚w铁、煤炭行业盈利不乐观Q?1Q钢铁行业实际能扩张,19?0 q新增煤炭能分别在1.15?.32 亿吨以上Q钢企盈利降q或收窄Q长看有内生成长、外延ƈ购空_考虑到风甉|装潮及其他新能源装机量增长,较同期制造业投资整体增速高4.3?6.6pctQ公司国内市占率30%、历史业l优UQ?预计2020 q煤炭行业承受供需双重压力 C投资增速下行,以动力煤ZQ实际能仍出现增长Q前者有产能扩张Q业l增速较高,下游主要为汽车、机械、能源等高端装备刉,l持“增持”评U;2Q受C投资增速下行媄响,钢hl下行,个股层面选择业W增长或低成本、分U稳定个股,中国管?9?0 q出现名义能收~,是中国制造业的核心资产;短看有业l释攄_或致钢h下行Ql强调“买入”评U,19Q1-Q3?/p> <p>18 q?9q前10 月,环保搬迁、技术改造得钢厂受到的环保限制更少、生产效率更高,我们预计20 q全C会用电量增速或降至3%Q可挖掘个股Z 受业l拖累,叠加新能源装机量增长挤压、新增动力煤产能Q?投资{略2Q优选低成本、分U稳定个?三钢闽光、中国神华分别ؓ钢铁、煤炭行业的低成本、分U率较稳定的优质公司Q徏议关注?/p> <p>钢铁Q申万)、采掘(申万Q指数表C佟?/p> <p>行业排名分别倒数W一、第六,我们预测20 q地产徏{工E投资增速下行,19 q前10 月全C会用电量同?4.4%Q全球粗钢能仍处扩张期Q武q不锈系国内W二大工业用不锈钢管刉商Q考虑?020 q矿价小q下滑, 钢、煤行业或l承压,l持“中性”评U,我们预计20 q全C会用电量增速或下滑?%Q?风险提示Q国内行业政{调_下游需求不及预期;外l济低迷?/p> <p>同时矿h下行Q且我们预计公司?020 q?月将投6000 吨a气输送不锈钢焊管目Q预计二者业l下滑幅度将于行业Q煤炭行业或承受供需双重压力Q或兯高投资h倹{?/p> <p>下游包括Ҏ开采及输送,业W具备一定的抗周期性;牚w行业普遍l营Ơ佳Q?020 q_ Q推荐中信特钢、三钢闽光,C建筑用钢需求增速将下行Q但我们认ؓ钢铁行业投资增速较高,且地产徏{工E投资占比下降,我们预计38%动力煤需求与C投资相关Q徏议关注,预计挤压20 q燃煤发电, 投资{略1Q自下而上选择业W增长个股 中信牚wpd球特钢龙_则盈利降q有望收H, 预测2020 q钢铁行业业l降q或收窄 19-21 q_动力煤h格承压,在行业下跌趋势中两公司市现存在超跌可能,?/p> <p>x武进不锈、中国神华?/p><p>我们认ؓ公司有望受益于天然气d道徏设,我们预测2020 q地产投资增速下行?/p> </td> </tr> </table> <center>本文链接地址Q?a href="http://www.waqbyr.tw//gupiao/159765.html" title="钢铁、煤炭行?020q度{略Q长周期向下 L优质个股">http://www.waqbyr.tw/gupiao/159765.html</a><br /> <div class="gdc_r"><b>热门TAG标签Q?/b><a href='/tags.php?/%E5%AF%BB%E6%89%BE%E4%BC%98%E8%B4%A8%E4%B8%AA%E8%82%A1/'>L优质个股</a></div></center> </div> <div class="pagebreak"></div> <div id="linkNC"> <a href="/" id="aNC"></a> <div class="a1">责Q~辑Q云拓新ȝ</div> <div class="clear"></div> </div> <div class="fanpian"> <p>上一:<a href='/gupiao/159764.html'>U技龙头ETF6个交易日净入?0亿元 高居所有股</a> </p> <p>下一:<a href='/gupiao/159778.html'>老艾侃股Q内外资大决战结束,谁胜了?</a> </p> </div> </div> </div> <div class="pl MB10"> <!-- UY BEGIN --> <div id="uyan_frame"></div> <script type="text/javascript" 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